INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF NOVEL RESEARCH AND DEVELOPMENT International Peer Reviewed & Refereed Journals, Open Access Journal ISSN Approved Journal No: 2456-4184 | Impact factor: 8.76 | ESTD Year: 2016
Scholarly open access journals, Peer-reviewed, and Refereed Journals, Impact factor 8.76 (Calculate by google scholar and Semantic Scholar | AI-Powered Research Tool) , Multidisciplinary, Monthly, Indexing in all major database & Metadata, Citation Generator, Digital Object Identifier(DOI)
LSD is an important Tran’s boundary disease affecting the cattle industry worldwide. The Objectives of this study were to determine trends and significant change points, and to forecast the Number of LSD outbreak reports in Africa, Europe, and Asia. LSD outbreak report data (January 2005 To January 2022) from the World Organization for Animal Health were analysed. We determined statistically significant change points in the data using binary segmentation, and forecast the number Of LSD reports using auto-regressive moving average (ARIMA) and neural network autoregressive (NNAR) models. Four significant change points were identified for each continent. The year between the third and fourth change points (2016–2019) in the African data was the period with the highest Mean of number of LSD reports. All change points of LSD outbreaks in Europe corresponded with massive outbreaks during 2015–2017. Asia had the highest number of LSD reports in 2019 after the third detected change point in 2018. For the next three years (2022–2024), both ARIMA and NNAR forecast a rise in the number of LSD reports in Africa and a steady number in Europe. However, ARIMA predicts a stable number of outbreaks in Asia, whereas NNAR predicts an increase in 2023–2024. This study provides information that contributes to a better understanding of the Epidemiology of LSD
Keywords:
Classification of LSD, Biology of LSDV, Pathogenesis, Histopathological Findings, Diagnosis, Treatment.
Cite Article:
"LUMPY SKIN DISEASE: REVIEW OF LITERATURE.", International Journal of Novel Research and Development (www.ijnrd.org), ISSN:2456-4184, Vol.8, Issue 1, page no.c573-c584, January-2023, Available :http://www.ijnrd.org/papers/IJNRD2301278.pdf
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ISSN:
2456-4184 | IMPACT FACTOR: 8.76 Calculated By Google Scholar| ESTD YEAR: 2016
An International Scholarly Open Access Journal, Peer-Reviewed, Refereed Journal Impact Factor 8.76 Calculate by Google Scholar and Semantic Scholar | AI-Powered Research Tool, Multidisciplinary, Monthly, Multilanguage Journal Indexing in All Major Database & Metadata, Citation Generator
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