Paper Title
UAE Quits OPEC and OPEC+: Winners and Losers of Different Countries of The World
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Registration ID: IJNRD_325136
Published ID: IJNRD2605443
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Keywords
OPEC Withdrawal, UAE Energy Strategy, Oil Production Quotas, Geopolitics of Energy.
Abstract
The United Arab Emirates’(UAE) formal departure from OPEC and the OPEC+ alliance on May 1, 2026, marks a seismic realignment in global energy governance and Middle Eastern geopolitics. As the most significant exit in the organisation’s 66-year history, the move subtracts a cornerstone producer responsible for 14.0 per cent of the bloc's liquids capacity and strips the alliance of its second-largest spare production buffer—a vital tool for market stabilisation previously shared almost exclusively with Saudi Arabia. By breaking away, Abu Dhabi has effectively terminated its adherence to a collective output strategy that had become fundamentally incompatible with its national economic objectives and security needs. The primary catalyst for this rupture was the widening gap between the UAE’s aggressive upstream investments, which expanded capacity to 4.85 million barrels per day, and the restrictive production caps mandated by the Saudi-led cartel that forced high-tech infrastructure to remain underutilised. This "monetisation-first" approach reflects a pragmatic recognition of the accelerating energy transition; the UAE leadership views its hydrocarbon wealth as having a finite window of relevance and intends to maximise output now to fund an ambitious post-oil transition, avoiding the risk of reserves becoming stranded assets in a future net-zero economy. Beyond economic calculations, the exit is rooted in a burgeoning rivalry with Saudi Arabia for regional dominance and a glaring security paradox: the UAE found it strategically impossible to maintain an energy partnership with Iran while being subjected to attacks on its infrastructure by Iranian-aligned forces during the US-Iran conflict. Ultimately, OPEC's diminished influence threatens its traditional role as a "swing producer," likely ushering in increased price volatility, while offering major importers like India a strategic opening to secure competitive, bilateral supply deals that bypass the traditional "OPEC premium."
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How To Cite (APA)
S. Ramaswamy, V. Kaveri, Sruthi Mohan, S. Arun, & S.Amutha (May-2026). UAE Quits OPEC and OPEC+: Winners and Losers of Different Countries of The World. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF NOVEL RESEARCH AND DEVELOPMENT, 11(5), e305-e327. https://ijnrd.org/papers/IJNRD2605443.pdf
Issue
Volume 11 Issue 5, May-2026
Pages : e305-e327
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Paper Reg. ID: IJNRD_325136
Published Paper Id: IJNRD2605443
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Author Type: Indian Author
Country: -, -, India
Published Paper PDF: https://ijnrd.org/papers/IJNRD2605443.pdf
Published Paper URL: https://ijnrd.org/viewpaperforall?paper=IJNRD2605443
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