FIRST EVER INTELLIGENCE STRATEGY TO AVERT SURPRISE BY ENEMY

FIRST EVER INTELLIGENCE STRATEGY TO AVERT SURPRISE BY ENEMY

Registration ID: IJNRD_186742

Published ID: IJNRD2301355

DOI: Click Here to Get

KESHAV MAZUMDAR , DR PATRICK LINNENBANK

military intelligence,intelligence,army.navy,airforce,police

Intelligence preparation of the battlefield gives the commander situation assessment.Other intelligence products like intelligence estimate,Counterintelligence estimate etc do give important details of Enemy but all these do not support derivation for Surprise.Commander gets all intelligence feeds,executed war gaming,decided on all possible courses of action,and prepares for the most likely course of action of the Enemy.So far so good. What precedes all this planning? Intelligence Requirements.IRs are formulated after receipt of information of observed enemy activity.But despite all intelligence collection and approximate assumption of most likely course of action,the enemy may still spring a surprise.Situational Awareness takes this into account. I am in no way reducing the significance of standard Commanders MDMP and war gaming in light of current intelligence feeds to deal with an expected COA.It can very well be Enemy has no plans to Surprise.But then Commanders Situational Awareness is incomplete.He should take in account possible Surprise moves.To this end I suggest a parallel MDMP after using CARVER to nominate other possible Targets apart from the one being considered,possible target types and associated propensity rating,all historical data and all other information in each Target folder,brainstorm hypothetical indicators specific to each Target environment ,human and physical terrain, formulate SURPRISE INT REQUIREMENTS,look for associated indicators,confirm or deny them and through the process of Target Nomination- Target Development- Target Reduction Plan arrive at the highest possible alternate targets inviting terrorist surprise attack.

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"FIRST EVER INTELLIGENCE STRATEGY TO AVERT SURPRISE BY ENEMY", IJNRD - INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF NOVEL RESEARCH AND DEVELOPMENT (www.IJNRD.org), ISSN:2456-4184, Vol.8, Issue 1, page no.d487-d492, January-2023, Available :https://ijnrd.org/papers/IJNRD2301355.pdf

Volume 8 Issue 1, January-2023

Pages : d487-d492

Paper Reg. ID: IJNRD_186742

Published Paper Id: IJNRD2301355

Downloads: 000121139

Research Area: Other

Country: KOLKATA, WEST BENGAL, India

Published Paper PDF: https://ijnrd.org/papers/IJNRD2301355.pdf

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Journal Name: INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF NOVEL RESEARCH AND DEVELOPMENT(IJNRD)

ISSN: 2456-4184 | IMPACT FACTOR: 8.76 Calculated By Google Scholar | ESTD YEAR: 2016

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